There wouldn't be many who think Q2 Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:QTWO) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Software industry in the United States is similar at about 4.5x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for Q2 Holdings
How Has Q2 Holdings Performed Recently?
There hasn't been much to differentiate Q2 Holdings' and the industry's revenue growth lately. It seems that many are expecting the mediocre revenue performance to persist, which has held the P/S ratio back. If this is the case, then at least existing shareholders won't be losing sleep over the current share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Q2 Holdings.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Q2 Holdings?
Q2 Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 11% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 60% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 10% during the coming year according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 15% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it interesting that Q2 Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our look at the analysts forecasts of Q2 Holdings' revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Having said that, be aware Q2 Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Q2 Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.