Kwan On Holdings Limited (HKG:1559) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 79%.
Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Kwan On Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Construction industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
See our latest analysis for Kwan On Holdings
What Does Kwan On Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Kwan On Holdings has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the share price, and thus the P/S ratio, from rising. Those who are bullish on Kwan On Holdings will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Kwan On Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
How Is Kwan On Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
Kwan On Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 37% gain to the company's top line. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 3.2% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 13% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Kwan On Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Kwan On Holdings appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
The fact that Kwan On Holdings currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Having said that, be aware Kwan On Holdings is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 3 of those are a bit concerning.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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Kwan On Holdings似乎再次受到青睐,股价稳步上涨,使其市盈率与业内其他公司保持一致。有人认为,在某些行业,市售比率是衡量价值的较差,但它可能是一个有力的商业信心指标。
Kwan On Holdings目前的市盈率与该行业其他公司持平,这一事实令我们感到惊讶,因为其最近的收入在中期内一直在下降,而该行业仍将增长。尽管它与行业相匹配,但我们对当前的市盈率感到不舒服,因为这种惨淡的收入表现不太可能长期支撑更积极的情绪。除非最近的中期状况明显改善,否则投资者将很难接受股价作为公允价值。