There wouldn't be many who think Shangri-La Asia Limited's (HKG:69) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Hospitality industry in Hong Kong is similar at about 1x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
View our latest analysis for Shangri-La Asia
How Has Shangri-La Asia Performed Recently?
Shangri-La Asia certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.
Keen to find out how analysts think Shangri-La Asia's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shangri-La Asia would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 39%. Revenue has also lifted 8.9% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 24% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 41%, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that Shangri-La Asia's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What Does Shangri-La Asia's P/S Mean For Investors?
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
When you consider that Shangri-La Asia's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Shangri-La Asia (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shangri-La Asia, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.