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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002869) Shares After Tumbling 25%

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 28, 2023 14:40

Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002869) shares have retraced a considerable 25% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 6.1% in the last year.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Shenzhen Genvict Technologies may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios under 4.3x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

See our latest analysis for Shenzhen Genvict Technologies

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002869 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 28th 2023

What Does Shenzhen Genvict Technologies' Recent Performance Look Like?

Shenzhen Genvict Technologies has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen Genvict Technologies will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Shenzhen Genvict Technologies' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 16%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 82% drop in revenue in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 62% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Shenzhen Genvict Technologies' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Shenzhen Genvict Technologies' P/S

Shenzhen Genvict Technologies' shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Shenzhen Genvict Technologies (1 is significant!) that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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