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Jiangxi Bank (HKG:1916) Stock Falls 8.8% in Past Week as Five-year Earnings and Shareholder Returns Continue Downward Trend

Jiangxi Bank (HKG:1916) Stock Falls 8.8% in Past Week as Five-year Earnings and Shareholder Returns Continue Downward Trend

由於五年收益和股東回報率持續下降趨勢,江西銀行(HKG: 1916)股價在過去一週下跌8.8%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/28 17:54

Some stocks are best avoided. We don't wish catastrophic capital loss on anyone. For example, we sympathize with anyone who was caught holding Jiangxi Bank Co., Ltd. (HKG:1916) during the five years that saw its share price drop a whopping 88%. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 22% in the last 90 days. We really feel for shareholders in this scenario. It's a good reminder of the importance of diversification, and it's worth keeping in mind there's more to life than money, anyway.

最好避開一些股票。我們不希望任何人遭受災難性的資本損失。例如,我們對任何在股價暴跌88%的五年中被抓獲持有江西銀行股份有限公司(HKG: 1916)的人表示同情。股東們最近的表現更加艱難,股價在過去90天中下跌了22%。在這種情況下,我們真的對股東有同感。這很好地提醒了多元化的重要性,無論如何,值得記住的是,生活中存在的不僅僅是金錢。

Since Jiangxi Bank has shed HK$422m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

由於江西銀行在過去7天內已將市值減少了4.22億港元,讓我們看看長期下跌是否是由該企業的經濟推動的。

Check out our latest analysis for Jiangxi Bank

查看我們對江西銀行的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

儘管一些人繼續教導高效市場假說,但事實證明,市場是反應過度的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間推移的變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度隨着時間的推移而發生了怎樣的變化。

Looking back five years, both Jiangxi Bank's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 21% per year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 35% per year, over the period. This implies that the market is more cautious about the business these days. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 3.13.

回顧五年,江西銀行的股價和每股收益均有所下降;後者每年下降21%。讀者應注意,在此期間,股價的下跌速度快於每股收益,每年爲35%。這意味着當今市場對該業務更加謹慎。不太樂觀的情緒反映在其目前的市盈率3.13上。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描繪了 EPS 隨着時間的推移而發生的變化(點擊圖片顯示確切的數值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:1916 Earnings Per Share Growth December 28th 2023
SEHK: 1916 每股收益增長 2023 年 12 月 28 日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪水低於類似規模公司的中位數。但是,儘管首席執行官的薪酬總是值得檢查的,但真正重要的問題是公司未來能否增加收益。在買入或賣出股票之前,我們始終建議仔細研究歷史增長趨勢,可在此處查閱。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Jiangxi Bank, it has a TSR of -86% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。以江西銀行爲例,過去5年的股東總回報率爲-86%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market lost about 9.7% in the twelve months, Jiangxi Bank shareholders did even worse, losing 16% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 13% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Jiangxi Bank (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

儘管整個市場在十二個月中下跌了約9.7%,但江西銀行股東的表現甚至更糟,損失了16%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。但是,去年的虧損並不像投資者在過去五年中遭受的每年13%的虧損那麼嚴重。我們需要看到關鍵指標的持續改善,然後才能激起極大的熱情。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。比如風險。每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現了江西銀行的2個警告標誌(其中1個有點令人擔憂!)你應該知道。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

對於那些喜歡尋找中獎投資的人來說,這份最近有內幕收購的成長型公司的免費名單可能只是門票。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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