Shenyang Huitian Thermal Power Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000692) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 4.8% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Water Utilities industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.6x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd
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How Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 11%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with revenue growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 9.3% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.
The Key Takeaway
Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.