When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 34x, you may consider Zhuzhou Smelter Group Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600961) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 53.5x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Zhuzhou Smelter GroupLtd as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Zhuzhou Smelter GroupLtd
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Zhuzhou Smelter GroupLtd.Does Growth Match The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Zhuzhou Smelter GroupLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 63%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 66% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 409% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 44%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Zhuzhou Smelter GroupLtd is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Zhuzhou Smelter GroupLtd maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Zhuzhou Smelter GroupLtd (2 don't sit too well with us!) that we have uncovered.
You might be able to find a better investment than Zhuzhou Smelter GroupLtd. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.