Tronox Holdings plc's (NYSE:TROX) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x may look like a pretty appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Chemicals industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.4x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Tronox Holdings
What Does Tronox Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?
With revenue that's retreating more than the industry's average of late, Tronox Holdings has been very sluggish. Perhaps the market isn't expecting future revenue performance to improve, which has kept the P/S suppressed. You'd much rather the company improve its revenue performance if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Tronox Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
Tronox Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 24% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 5.4% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 7.6% per year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 10.0% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Tronox Holdings' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Tronox Holdings' P/S?
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Tronox Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Tronox Holdings, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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