AV Concept Holdings Limited (HKG:595) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 14% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about AV Concept Holdings' P/S ratio of 0.5x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Electronic industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for AV Concept Holdings
What Does AV Concept Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that AV Concept Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on AV Concept Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is AV Concept Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
AV Concept Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 30%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 41% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that AV Concept Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
AV Concept Holdings' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our look at AV Concept Holdings revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for AV Concept Holdings that you need to take into consideration.
If you're unsure about the strength of AV Concept Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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AV Concept Holdings Limited(HKG: 595)股東會很高興看到股價表現良好,漲幅爲28%,並從先前的疲軟中恢復過來。並非所有股東都會感到歡欣鼓舞,因爲股價在過去十二個月中仍然下跌了非常令人失望的14%。