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What Zhejiang Shapuaisi Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603168) 27% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 30, 2023 07:39

Zhejiang Shapuaisi Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603168) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 47%.

Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 34x, you may consider Zhejiang Shapuaisi PharmaceuticalLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 63.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Zhejiang Shapuaisi PharmaceuticalLtd has been doing very well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Zhejiang Shapuaisi PharmaceuticalLtd

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603168 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 29th 2023
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhejiang Shapuaisi PharmaceuticalLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Zhejiang Shapuaisi PharmaceuticalLtd would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 54% last year. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 44% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we find it concerning that Zhejiang Shapuaisi PharmaceuticalLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Zhejiang Shapuaisi PharmaceuticalLtd's P/E?

Shares in Zhejiang Shapuaisi PharmaceuticalLtd have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Zhejiang Shapuaisi PharmaceuticalLtd revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Zhejiang Shapuaisi PharmaceuticalLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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