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Zhejiang Zhongjian Technology Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002779) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

浙江鉄家建設技術有限公司の(SZSE:002779)株式はあまりにも早く走りすぎる可能性があります。

Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/29 20:01

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 70.3x Zhejiang Zhongjian Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002779) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 34x and even P/E's lower than 20x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Zhejiang Zhongjian TechnologyLtd certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for Zhejiang Zhongjian TechnologyLtd

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002779 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 30th 2023
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zhejiang Zhongjian TechnologyLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Zhejiang Zhongjian TechnologyLtd's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 73% last year. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 44% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's alarming that Zhejiang Zhongjian TechnologyLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Zhejiang Zhongjian TechnologyLtd's P/E

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Zhejiang Zhongjian TechnologyLtd revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Zhejiang Zhongjian TechnologyLtd with six simple checks.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Zhejiang Zhongjian TechnologyLtd. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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