Saia, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SAIA) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 34.5x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 16x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Saia has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Saia would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.1%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 177% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 17% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 13% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Saia is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Saia's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Saia with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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Saia, Inc. 's(纳斯达克股票代码:SAIA)市盈率(或 “市盈率”)为34.5倍,与美国市场相比,目前看上去像是强劲的抛售。在美国,约有一半的公司的市盈率低于16倍,甚至市盈率低于9倍也很常见。但是,市盈率可能相当高是有原因的,需要进一步调查以确定其是否合理。