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Improved Revenues Required Before BGI Genomics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300676) Shares Find Their Feet

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 2 09:06

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.5x BGI Genomics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300676) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Biotechs companies in China have P/S ratios greater than 8.3x and even P/S higher than 14x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Check out our latest analysis for BGI Genomics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300676 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 2nd 2024

How BGI Genomics Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at BGI Genomics over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on BGI Genomics will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For BGI Genomics?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like BGI Genomics' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.5% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 24% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 873% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that BGI Genomics' P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What Does BGI Genomics' P/S Mean For Investors?

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

It's no surprise that BGI Genomics maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with BGI Genomics (at least 2 which are potentially serious), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on BGI Genomics, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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