When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 36x, you may consider Risen Energy Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300118) as a highly attractive investment with its 13.6x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Risen EnergyLtd certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
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Is There Any Growth For Risen EnergyLtd?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Risen EnergyLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 244% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 34% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 40% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 43%, which is not materially different.
With this information, we find it odd that Risen EnergyLtd is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On Risen EnergyLtd's P/E
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Risen EnergyLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Risen EnergyLtd (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Risen EnergyLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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