Xiamen Xiangyu Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600057) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.4x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 36x and even P/E's above 65x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Xiamen Xiangyu has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Xiamen Xiangyu
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Xiamen Xiangyu will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
Xiamen Xiangyu's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 46%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 39% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 107% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 43%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Xiamen Xiangyu's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From Xiamen Xiangyu's P/E?
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Xiamen Xiangyu's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 6 warning signs for Xiamen Xiangyu that we have uncovered.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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