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Investors Aren't Buying Myriad Genetics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MYGN) Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 2 07:09

Myriad Genetics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MYGN) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 12.3x and even P/S above 52x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Myriad Genetics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:MYGN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 2nd 2024

How Myriad Genetics Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Myriad Genetics has been relatively sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Myriad Genetics' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Myriad Genetics' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 11% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen a 23% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 8.5% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 249% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Myriad Genetics' P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Myriad Genetics' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Myriad Genetics you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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