When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may consider California Resources Corporation (NYSE:CRC) as a highly attractive investment with its 8.2x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
California Resources has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for California Resources
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Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, California Resources would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 56%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 30% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 10%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it odd that California Resources is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that California Resources currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for California Resources (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
You might be able to find a better investment than California Resources. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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