When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 35x, you may consider Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group) Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300408) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 40.1x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group)Ltd as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group)Ltd
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group)Ltd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 9.1%. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 6.6% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 61% as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 43% growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group)Ltd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group)Ltd's P/E?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group)Ltd maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group)Ltd you should know about.
You might be able to find a better investment than Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group)Ltd. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.