When close to half the companies in the Electrical industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.6x, you may consider Tianjin Guoan Mengguli New Materials Science & Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301487) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 7.8x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Tianjin Guoan Mengguli New Materials Science & Technology
How Has Tianjin Guoan Mengguli New Materials Science & Technology Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Tianjin Guoan Mengguli New Materials Science & Technology's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Tianjin Guoan Mengguli New Materials Science & Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Tianjin Guoan Mengguli New Materials Science & Technology?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Tianjin Guoan Mengguli New Materials Science & Technology would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 29%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 49% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 31% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's alarming that Tianjin Guoan Mengguli New Materials Science & Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Tianjin Guoan Mengguli New Materials Science & Technology revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Tianjin Guoan Mengguli New Materials Science & Technology that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of Tianjin Guoan Mengguli New Materials Science & Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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