China Aerospace Times Electronics CO., LTD.'s (SHSE:600879) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 42.3x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 35x and even P/E's below 20x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, China Aerospace Times Electronics has been very sluggish. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for China Aerospace Times Electronics
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on China Aerospace Times Electronics.
How Is China Aerospace Times Electronics' Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like China Aerospace Times Electronics' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.4% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 13% overall rise in EPS. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 17% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 43% growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it concerning that China Aerospace Times Electronics is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that China Aerospace Times Electronics currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with China Aerospace Times Electronics.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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