Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Jiusheng Electric (SZSE:301082) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Jiusheng Electric, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.077 = CN¥88m ÷ (CN¥3.0b - CN¥1.9b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
So, Jiusheng Electric has an ROCE of 7.7%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 6.3% generated by the Electrical industry, it's much better.
View our latest analysis for Jiusheng Electric
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Jiusheng Electric's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Jiusheng Electric, check out these free graphs here.
So How Is Jiusheng Electric's ROCE Trending?
In terms of Jiusheng Electric's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 25%, but since then they've fallen to 7.7%. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
On a side note, Jiusheng Electric has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 63% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money. Keep in mind 63% is still pretty high, so those risks are still somewhat prevalent.
The Bottom Line On Jiusheng Electric's ROCE
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Jiusheng Electric's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 19% over the last year. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Jiusheng Electric (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) that you should know about.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.