When it comes to investing, there are some useful financial metrics that can warn us when a business is potentially in trouble. A business that's potentially in decline often shows two trends, a return on capital employed (ROCE) that's declining, and a base of capital employed that's also declining. Basically the company is earning less on its investments and it is also reducing its total assets. So after we looked into Jihua Group (SHSE:601718), the trends above didn't look too great.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Jihua Group:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.00043 = CN¥8.3m ÷ (CN¥27b - CN¥7.8b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
Therefore, Jihua Group has an ROCE of 0.04%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Commercial Services industry average of 5.4%.
Check out our latest analysis for Jihua Group
In the above chart we have measured Jihua Group's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Jihua Group here for free.
What Can We Tell From Jihua Group's ROCE Trend?
The trend of returns that Jihua Group is generating are raising some concerns. The company used to generate 1.2% on its capital five years ago but it has since fallen noticeably. In addition to that, Jihua Group is now employing 23% less capital than it was five years ago. The combination of lower ROCE and less capital employed can indicate that a business is likely to be facing some competitive headwinds or seeing an erosion to its moat. If these underlying trends continue, we wouldn't be too optimistic going forward.
The Bottom Line On Jihua Group's ROCE
In short, lower returns and decreasing amounts capital employed in the business doesn't fill us with confidence. Long term shareholders who've owned the stock over the last five years have experienced a 18% depreciation in their investment, so it appears the market might not like these trends either. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
Jihua Group does have some risks though, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Jihua Group that you might be interested in.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
