With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.6x Nanjing Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600282) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 35x and even P/E's higher than 64x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Nanjing Iron & Steel as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Nanjing Iron & Steel
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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Nanjing Iron & Steel would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 35%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 39% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 54% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 43%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it odd that Nanjing Iron & Steel is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Nanjing Iron & Steel's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Nanjing Iron & Steel that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Nanjing Iron & Steel, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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