Jiangsu Yueda Investment Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600805) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 32% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 35% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies operating in China's Industrials industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.8x, you may consider Jiangsu Yueda Investment as a stock to potentially avoid with its 1.8x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Check out our latest analysis for Jiangsu Yueda Investment
SHSE:600805 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 4th 2024
How Has Jiangsu Yueda Investment Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Jiangsu Yueda Investment's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Jiangsu Yueda Investment, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Jiangsu Yueda Investment would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 13%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 10% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Weighing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 4.3% shows it's about the same on an annualised basis.
With this information, we find it interesting that Jiangsu Yueda Investment is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends would weigh down the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
The large bounce in Jiangsu Yueda Investment's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We didn't expect to see Jiangsu Yueda Investment trade at such a high P/S considering its last three-year revenue growth has only been on par with the rest of the industry. When we see average revenue with industry-like growth combined with a high P/S, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with the industry too. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Yueda Investment you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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