share_log

Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Shanghai Kai Kai Industry Company Limited's (SHSE:600272) Shares

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 4 22:53

There wouldn't be many who think Shanghai Kai Kai Industry Company Limited's (SHSE:600272) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.9x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Pharmaceuticals industry in China is very similar. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for Shanghai Kai Kai Industry

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600272 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 5th 2024

What Does Shanghai Kai Kai Industry's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shanghai Kai Kai Industry over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai Kai Kai Industry will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Shanghai Kai Kai Industry's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Shanghai Kai Kai Industry's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.5% decrease to the company's top line. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with revenue growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 40% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shanghai Kai Kai Industry's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We find it unexpected that Shanghai Kai Kai Industry trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Shanghai Kai Kai Industry that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shanghai Kai Kai Industry's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment