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Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For Johnson Outdoors Inc.'s (NASDAQ:JOUT) Mixed Fundamentals?

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 6 22:27

With its stock down 9.7% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Johnson Outdoors (NASDAQ:JOUT). We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Long-term fundamentals are usually what drive market outcomes, so it's worth paying close attention. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Johnson Outdoors' ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Johnson Outdoors

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Johnson Outdoors is:

3.9% = US$20m ÷ US$500m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.04 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Johnson Outdoors' Earnings Growth And 3.9% ROE

It is quite clear that Johnson Outdoors' ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 12%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. As a result, Johnson Outdoors' flat earnings over the past five years doesn't come as a surprise given its lower ROE.

We then compared Johnson Outdoors' net income growth with the industry and found that the average industry growth rate was 18% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
NasdaqGS:JOUT Past Earnings Growth January 6th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Johnson Outdoors''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Johnson Outdoors Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Johnson Outdoors' low three-year median payout ratio of 20% (implying that the company keeps80% of its income) should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth and this should be reflected in its growth number, but that's not the case.

In addition, Johnson Outdoors has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

Conclusion

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Johnson Outdoors. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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