HiVi Acoustics Technology Co., Ltd (SZSE:002888) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 41% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 96%.
Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in China's Consumer Durables industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.1x, you may consider HiVi Acoustics Technology as a stock to avoid entirely with its 18.8x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
View our latest analysis for HiVi Acoustics Technology
SZSE:002888 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 7th 2024
How HiVi Acoustics Technology Has Been Performing
For example, consider that HiVi Acoustics Technology's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on HiVi Acoustics Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like HiVi Acoustics Technology's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 12%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 18% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 13% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that HiVi Acoustics Technology is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What Does HiVi Acoustics Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?
HiVi Acoustics Technology's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that HiVi Acoustics Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for HiVi Acoustics Technology you should know about.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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