With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.2x Puyang Refractories Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002225) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 35x and even P/E's higher than 63x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
Puyang Refractories Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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Puyang Refractories Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 65% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 8.0% drop in EPS in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 31% as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 43% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Puyang Refractories Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Puyang Refractories Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Puyang Refractories Group (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Puyang Refractories Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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