When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider Amphenol Corporation (NYSE:APH) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 29.4x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Amphenol has been doing quite well of late. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Amphenol
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Amphenol would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 4.1%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 64% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 4.3% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 13% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it concerning that Amphenol is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Amphenol's P/E?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Amphenol's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Amphenol with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Amphenol, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
