AVIC Industry-Finance Holdings (SHSE:600705) Shareholders Have Lost 28% Over 3 Years, Earnings Decline Likely the Culprit
AVIC Industry-Finance Holdings (SHSE:600705) Shareholders Have Lost 28% Over 3 Years, Earnings Decline Likely the Culprit
For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term AVIC Industry-Finance Holdings Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600705) shareholders, since the share price is down 34% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 21%. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 12% in the last three months. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 7.7% in the same timeframe.
对于许多投资者来说,选股的要点是产生比整个市场更高的回报。但几乎可以肯定的是,有时候你会买入低于市场平均回报率的股票。不幸的是,中航工业金融控股有限公司(SHSE: 600705)的长期股东就是这种情况,因为股价在过去三年中下跌了34%,远低于市场约21%的跌幅。最近跌势加速,股价在过去三个月中下跌了12%。但是,有人可能会争辩说,价格受到了大盘的影响,同期股价下跌了7.7%。
With the stock having lost 3.2% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.
由于该股在过去一周下跌了3.2%,值得一看业务表现,看看是否有任何危险信号。
See our latest analysis for AVIC Industry-Finance Holdings
查看我们对中航工业产融控股的最新分析
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。
During the three years that the share price fell, AVIC Industry-Finance Holdings' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 48% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 13% compound annual share price fall. So, despite the prior disappointment, shareholders must have some confidence the situation will improve, longer term. With a P/E ratio of 53.33, it's fair to say the market sees a brighter future for the business.
在股价下跌的三年中,中航工业金融控股公司的每股收益(EPS)每年下降48%。每股收益的下降比13%的复合年股价下跌还要严重。因此,尽管此前曾令人失望,但股东必须有一定的信心,从长远来看,情况会有所改善。市盈率为53.33,可以公平地说,市场看到了该业务更光明的未来。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下图显示了 EPS 在一段时间内的跟踪情况(如果你点击图片,你可以看到更多的细节)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪水低于类似规模公司的中位数。一直值得关注首席执行官的薪酬,但更重要的问题是公司多年来是否会增加收益。在买入或卖出股票之前,我们始终建议仔细研究历史增长趋势,可在此处查阅。
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of AVIC Industry-Finance Holdings, it has a TSR of -28% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。就中航工业金融控股公司而言,其过去三年的股东总回报率为-28%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 总 股东回报。
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
While it's never nice to take a loss, AVIC Industry-Finance Holdings shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 7.4% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 13%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand AVIC Industry-Finance Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that AVIC Industry-Finance Holdings is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...
尽管亏损从来都不是一件好事,但中航工业金融控股的股东可以感到安慰的是,包括股息在内,他们过去十二个月的7.4%亏损没有市场损失13%左右那么严重。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年中4%的年化亏损还要糟糕。尽管一些投资者在专门收购陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表现良好,但不要忘记巴菲特说过 “转机很少会转机”。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解中航工业工业金融控股公司,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。即便如此,请注意,中航工业产融控股在我们的投资分析中显示出4个警告信号,其中一个不容忽视...
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
如果你像我一样,那么你不会想错过这份业内人士正在收购的成长型公司的免费名单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报率。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。