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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For V.S. International Group Limited's (HKG:1002) Shares After Tumbling 27%

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 9 17:22

To the annoyance of some shareholders, V.S. International Group Limited (HKG:1002) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 35% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.6x, you may still consider V.S. International Group as a stock probably not worth researching with its 1.8x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

View our latest analysis for V.S. International Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1002 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 9th 2024

What Does V.S. International Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at V.S. International Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on V.S. International Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is V.S. International Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, V.S. International Group would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 37% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 84% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 13% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that V.S. International Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On V.S. International Group's P/S

V.S. International Group's P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that V.S. International Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for V.S. International Group that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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