With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.4x China Animal Husbandry Industry Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600195) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 34x and even P/E's higher than 62x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
China Animal Husbandry Industry certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as China Animal Husbandry Industry's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 21% gain to the company's bottom line. EPS has also lifted 18% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 27% as estimated by the ten analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 43% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that China Animal Husbandry Industry's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of China Animal Husbandry Industry's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for China Animal Husbandry Industry that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of China Animal Husbandry Industry's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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