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ChinaLin Securities' (SZSE:002945) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Solid 198% Return Over the Last Five Years

ChinaLin Securities' (SZSE:002945) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Solid 198% Return Over the Last Five Years

华林证券(深圳证券交易所:002945)的投资者将对过去五年中198%的稳健回报感到满意
Simply Wall St ·  01/11 15:40

When you buy shares in a company, it's worth keeping in mind the possibility that it could fail, and you could lose your money. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. For instance, the price of ChinaLin Securities Co., Ltd (SZSE:002945) stock is up an impressive 191% over the last five years. It's also good to see the share price up 12% over the last quarter.

当你购买一家公司的股票时,值得记住它可能倒闭的可能性,你可能会赔钱。但是,当你选择一家真正蓬勃发展的公司时,你可以 使 超过 100%。例如,华林证券有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002945)的股票价格在过去五年中上涨了191%,令人印象深刻。股价在上个季度上涨了12%也是件好事。

Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

现在,公司的基本面也值得一看,因为这将帮助我们确定长期股东回报是否与基础业务的表现相匹配。

Check out our latest analysis for ChinaLin Securities

查看我们对华林证券的最新分析

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

不可否认的是,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是能反映基本的业务表现。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价随时间推移的变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度如何随着时间的推移而变化。

ChinaLin Securities' earnings per share are down 15% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.

尽管五年来股价表现强劲,但中林证券的每股收益每年下降15%。

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

这意味着市场不太可能根据收益增长来评判该公司。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化无关,因此值得研究其他指标。

The modest 0.3% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. In contrast revenue growth of 5.8% per year is probably viewed as evidence that ChinaLin Securities is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

0.3%的适度股息收益率不太可能支撑股价。相比之下,每年5.8%的收入增长可能被视为中林证券正在增长的证据,这是一个真正的积极因素。在这种情况下,该公司可能会牺牲当前的每股收益来推动增长。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(一段时间内)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002945 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 11th 2024
SZSE: 002945 收益和收入增长 2024 年 1 月 11 日

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以在这张免费的交互式图片中看到其资产负债表如何随着时间的推移而增强(或减弱)。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of ChinaLin Securities, it has a TSR of 198% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。就中林证券而言,在过去的5年中,其股东回报率为198%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's good to see that ChinaLin Securities has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 12% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. However, the TSR over five years, coming in at 24% per year, is even more impressive. Potential buyers might understandably feel they've missed the opportunity, but it's always possible business is still firing on all cylinders. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for ChinaLin Securities (1 is a bit unpleasant) that you should be aware of.

很高兴看到中林证券在过去十二个月中向股东提供了12%的总股东回报率。当然,这包括股息。但是,五年内的股东总回报率为每年24%,更加令人印象深刻。潜在买家可能会觉得他们错过了机会,这是可以理解的,但业务总是有可能全力以赴的。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们已经为华林证券确定了两个警告信号(其中一个有点不愉快),你应该注意这些信号。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一样,那么你不会想错过这份业内人士正在收购的成长型公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报率。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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