Despite an already strong run, Easy Smart Group Holdings Limited (HKG:2442) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 9x, you may consider Easy Smart Group Holdings as a stock to avoid entirely with its 16.7x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Easy Smart Group Holdings as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Easy Smart Group Holdings
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Easy Smart Group Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Easy Smart Group Holdings' Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Easy Smart Group Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 45%. As a result, it also grew EPS by 19% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 22% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
With this information, we find it concerning that Easy Smart Group Holdings is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Easy Smart Group Holdings' P/E?
Easy Smart Group Holdings' P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Easy Smart Group Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Easy Smart Group Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Easy Smart Group Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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根據這些信息,我們發現Easy Smart Group Holdings的市盈率高於市場。顯然,該公司的許多投資者比最近所表示的要看漲得多,他們不願意以任何價格拋售股票。只有最大膽的人才會假設這些價格是可持續的,因爲近期收益趨勢的延續最終可能會嚴重壓制股價。
我們可以從Easy Smart Group Holdings的市盈率中學到什麼?
Easy Smart Group Holdings的市盈率與上個月的股票一樣飛漲。我們可以說,市盈率的力量主要不在於作爲估值工具,而是衡量當前投資者情緒和未來預期。
我們已經確定,Easy Smart Group Holdings目前的市盈率遠高於預期,因爲其最近三年的增長低於更廣泛的市場預期。當我們看到收益疲軟,增長速度慢於市場增長時,我們懷疑股價有下跌的風險,從而降低高市盈率。如果最近的中期收益趨勢繼續下去,這將使股東的投資面臨重大風險,潛在投資者面臨支付過高溢價的危險。
你應該時刻考慮風險。舉個例子,我們發現了你應該注意的兩個Easy Smart Group Holdings的警告信號,其中一個令人擔憂。
當然,你也許還能找到比Easy Smart Group Holdings更好的股票。因此,你不妨免費查看其他市盈率合理且收益強勁增長的公司。