Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002709) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.5x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 34x and even P/E's above 62x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 39%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 590% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 1.5% over the next year. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 43%.
In light of this, it's understandable that Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Bottom Line On Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology's P/E
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
