It's not a stretch to say that Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology Innovation Co.,Ltd.Guangzhou's (SZSE:000523) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Household Products industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 2.2x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
See our latest analysis for Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology InnovationLtd.Guangzhou
What Does Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology InnovationLtd.Guangzhou's Recent Performance Look Like?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology InnovationLtd.Guangzhou over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology InnovationLtd.Guangzhou's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology InnovationLtd.Guangzhou's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 3.2%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 66% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology InnovationLtd.Guangzhou's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
The fact that Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology InnovationLtd.Guangzhou currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology InnovationLtd.Guangzhou has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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