Longyan Kaolin Clay Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605086) shares have retraced a considerable 28% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced its annual gain to a relatively sedate 5.4% over the last twelve months.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, Longyan Kaolin Clay may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 27.8x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 34x and even P/E's higher than 61x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Longyan Kaolin Clay has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this respectable earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Longyan Kaolin Clay
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
Longyan Kaolin Clay's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 13%. EPS has also lifted 16% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 43% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
In light of this, it's understandable that Longyan Kaolin Clay's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Longyan Kaolin Clay's P/E?
The softening of Longyan Kaolin Clay's shares means its P/E is now sitting at a pretty low level. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Longyan Kaolin Clay revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Having said that, be aware Longyan Kaolin Clay is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us.
If you're unsure about the strength of Longyan Kaolin Clay's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
