Shanghai Material Trading Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600822) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 28% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Longer-term, the stock has been solid despite a difficult 30 days, gaining 18% in the last year.
Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Shanghai Material Trading's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in China's Trade Distributors industry. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
View our latest analysis for Shanghai Material Trading
What Does Shanghai Material Trading's Recent Performance Look Like?
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Shanghai Material Trading has been doing very well. The P/S is probably moderate because investors think this strong revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai Material Trading, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Shanghai Material Trading's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shanghai Material Trading would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 31%. Still, revenue has fallen 15% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shanghai Material Trading is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What Does Shanghai Material Trading's P/S Mean For Investors?
With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Shanghai Material Trading looks to be in line with the rest of the Trade Distributors industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
The fact that Shanghai Material Trading currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shanghai Material Trading that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Shanghai Material Trading's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.