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What Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000020) 34% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 18 07:00

Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000020) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 34% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 73% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.3x, since almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios under 4.1x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000020 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 17th 2024

What Does Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa's Recent Performance Look Like?

Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 10% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 11% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 61% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa's P/S

Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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