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Is Lingyuan Iron & Steel (SHSE:600231) Using Debt Sensibly?

Is Lingyuan Iron & Steel (SHSE:600231) Using Debt Sensibly?

凌源鋼鐵(SHSE: 600231)是否明智地使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  01/18 20:21

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Lingyuan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600231) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們可以看到,凌源鋼鐵有限公司(SHSE: 600231)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

View our latest analysis for Lingyuan Iron & Steel

查看我們對凌源鋼鐵的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Lingyuan Iron & Steel Carry?

凌源鋼鐵揹負了多少債務?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Lingyuan Iron & Steel had debt of CN¥1.91b, up from CN¥1.68b in one year. But it also has CN¥2.45b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥539.3m net cash.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月,凌源鋼鐵的債務爲19.1億元人民幣,高於一年內的16.8億元人民幣。但它也有24.5億元人民幣的現金來抵消這一點,這意味着它的淨現金爲5.393億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600231 Debt to Equity History January 19th 2024
SHSE: 600231 2024 年 1 月 19 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Lingyuan Iron & Steel's Balance Sheet?

凌源鋼鐵的資產負債表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Lingyuan Iron & Steel had liabilities of CN¥6.99b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.37b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.45b as well as receivables valued at CN¥937.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥4.96b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,凌源鋼鐵的負債爲69.9億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲13.7億元人民幣。抵消這些債務後,該公司有24.5億元人民幣的現金以及價值9.378億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出49.6億元人民幣。

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥5.68b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Lingyuan Iron & Steel also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Lingyuan Iron & Steel's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

相對於其5.68億元人民幣的市值,這是一座巨大的槓桿率。這表明,如果公司需要迅速支撐資產負債表,股東將被嚴重稀釋。儘管凌源鋼鐵確實有值得注意的負債,但其現金也多於債務,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理債務。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是凌源鋼鐵的收益。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

In the last year Lingyuan Iron & Steel had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 17%, to CN¥20b. We would much prefer see growth.

去年,凌源鋼鐵在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際收入減少了17%,至200億元人民幣。我們更希望看到增長。

So How Risky Is Lingyuan Iron & Steel?

那麼凌源鋼鐵的風險有多大?

Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Lingyuan Iron & Steel lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CN¥1.2b of cash and made a loss of CN¥826m. However, it has net cash of CN¥539.3m, so it has a bit of time before it will need more capital. Summing up, we're a little skeptical of this one, as it seems fairly risky in the absence of free cashflow. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Lingyuan Iron & Steel you should be aware of.

從統計學上講,虧損的公司比賺錢的公司風險更大。事實是,在過去的十二個月中,凌源鋼鐵的息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。事實上,在那段時間裏,它消耗了12億加元的現金,損失了8.26億元人民幣。但是,它的淨現金爲5.393億元人民幣,因此在需要更多資金之前還有一段時間。總而言之,我們對此有點懷疑,因爲在沒有自由現金流的情況下,這似乎相當危險。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。一個很好的例子:我們發現了凌源鋼鐵公司的一個警告標誌,你應該注意。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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