Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech (SHSE:600433) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt
Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech (SHSE:600433) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600433) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
有人说,波动性,而不是债务,是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。重要的是,广东冠豪高科技股份有限公司(SHSE: 600433)确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多大的风险?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务会带来什么风险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常会看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以不良价格筹集资金。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。考虑公司的债务水平的第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。
See our latest analysis for Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech
查看我们对广东冠豪高科技的最新分析
How Much Debt Does Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech Carry?
广东冠豪高科背负了多少债务?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech had debt of CN¥2.21b, up from CN¥991.8m in one year. However, it also had CN¥1.52b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥684.3m.
您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2023年9月,广东冠豪高科的债务为22.1亿元人民币,高于一年的9.9180亿元人民币。但是,它也有152亿加元的现金,因此其净负债为6.843亿元人民币。
How Healthy Is Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech's Balance Sheet?
广东冠豪高科的资产负债表有多健康?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech had liabilities of CN¥3.66b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥668.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.52b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.68b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.13b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
根据上次报告的资产负债表,广东冠豪高科的负债为36.6亿元人民币,12个月后到期的负债为6.685亿元人民币。除这些债务外,它有152亿元人民币的现金以及价值16.8亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总额高出11.3亿元人民币。
Given Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech has a market capitalization of CN¥5.77b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
鉴于广东冠豪高科的市值为577亿元人民币,很难相信这些负债会构成很大的威胁。但是,我们确实认为值得关注其资产负债表的实力,因为它可能会随着时间的推移而发生变化。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,未来的收益比什么都重要,将决定广东冠豪高科未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
In the last year Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 40%, to CN¥7.6b. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.
去年,广东冠豪高科在息税前利润水平上没有盈利,但其收入增长了40%,达到76亿元人民币。股东们可能对它能够实现盈利抱有疑虑。
Caveat Emptor
Caveat Emptor
While we can certainly appreciate Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost CN¥140m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥549m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.
尽管我们当然可以理解广东冠豪高科的收入增长,但其息税前收益(EBIT)亏损并不理想。事实上,它在息税前利润水平上损失了1.4亿元人民币。当我们审视这一点并回顾其资产负债表上相对于现金的负债时,对我们来说,公司有任何债务似乎是不明智的。坦率地说,我们认为资产负债表远非匹配,尽管可以随着时间的推移而改善。另一个需要谨慎的原因是,在过去的十二个月中,自由现金流为负5.49亿元人民币。因此,简而言之,这是一只非常有风险的股票。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们已经为广东冠豪高科确定了两个警告标志(其中一个有点不愉快),你应该注意。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。