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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Zhejiang Xinchai Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301032) 26% Share Price Plunge

投資家が浙江新才株式会社(SZSE:301032)の株価が26%下がることに驚かない理由

Simply Wall St ·  01/19 17:43

The Zhejiang Xinchai Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301032) share price has softened a substantial 26% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced its annual gain to a relatively sedate 8.7% over the last twelve months.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Zhejiang Xinchai may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x, considering almost half of all companies in the Machinery industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.9x and even P/S higher than 6x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for Zhejiang Xinchai

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:301032 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 19th 2024

How Zhejiang Xinchai Has Been Performing

Revenue has risen firmly for Zhejiang Xinchai recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this respectable revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zhejiang Xinchai will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Zhejiang Xinchai's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Zhejiang Xinchai would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 7.8%. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 6.2% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 29% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we are not surprised that Zhejiang Xinchai is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Final Word

Zhejiang Xinchai's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Zhejiang Xinchai confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Zhejiang Xinchai (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Zhejiang Xinchai's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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