Continental Holdings Limited (HKG:513) shares have had a horrible month, losing 32% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 45% share price drop.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Continental Holdings' P/S ratio of 0.3x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Luxury industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.6x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
View our latest analysis for Continental Holdings
How Has Continental Holdings Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Continental Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Continental Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Continental Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Continental Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 25% decrease to the company's top line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 8.4% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 12% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that Continental Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Continental Holdings' P/S?
Following Continental Holdings' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Continental Holdings' average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Continental Holdings (3 are significant!) that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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