Optimism Around Befar GroupLtd (SHSE:601678) Delivering New Earnings Growth May Be Shrinking as Stock Declines 4.4% This Past Week
Optimism Around Befar GroupLtd (SHSE:601678) Delivering New Earnings Growth May Be Shrinking as Stock Declines 4.4% This Past Week
It's easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. When you buy individual stocks, you can make higher profits, but you also face the risk of under-performance. Unfortunately the Befar Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:601678) share price slid 27% over twelve months. That's well below the market decline of 18%. Zooming out, the stock is down 24% in the last three years.
通過購買指數基金很容易匹配整體市場回報。當你買入個股時,你可以獲得更高的利潤,但你也面臨表現不佳的風險。不幸的是,Befar 集團有限公司, Ltd(上海證券交易所代碼:601678)股價在十二個月內下跌了27%。這遠低於18%的市場跌幅。展望未來,該股在過去三年中下跌了24%。
Since Befar GroupLtd has shed CN¥364m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
由於Befar GroupLtd在過去7天內已從其價值下跌了3.64億元人民幣,因此讓我們看看長期下跌是否是由該企業的經濟推動的。
See our latest analysis for Befar GroupLtd
查看我們對 Befar GroupLtd 的最新分析
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。
Unfortunately Befar GroupLtd reported an EPS drop of 66% for the last year. The share price fall of 27% isn't as bad as the reduction in earnings per share. It may have been that the weak EPS was not as bad as some had feared.
不幸的是,Befar GroupLtd報告稱,去年的每股收益下降了66%。股價下跌27%還不如每股收益的下降那麼嚴重。疲軟的每股收益可能沒有某些人所擔心的那麼糟糕。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖描述了 EPS 隨着時間的推移是如何變化的(點擊圖片可以看到確切的值)。
It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Befar GroupLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
可能值得一看我們關於Befar GroupLtd的收益、收入和現金流的免費報告。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Befar GroupLtd the TSR over the last 1 year was -25%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。我們注意到,Befar GroupLtd在過去一年的股東總回報率爲-25%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
We regret to report that Befar GroupLtd shareholders are down 25% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 18%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 1.4% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Befar GroupLtd you should know about.
我們遺憾地報告,Befar GroupLtd的股東今年下跌了25%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,這比整個市場18%的跌幅還要嚴重。話雖如此,在下跌的市場中,一些股票不可避免地會被超賣。關鍵是要密切關注基本發展。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年1.4%的年化虧損還要糟糕。我們意識到羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該 “在街頭流血時買入”,但我們警告說,投資者應首先確保他們購買的是高質量的企業。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,考慮風險。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了兩個你應該知道的Befar GroupLtd警告信號。
We will like Befar GroupLtd better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我們看到一些大規模的內幕收購,我們會更喜歡Befar GroupLtd。在我們等待的同時,請查看這份免費清單,列出了最近有大量內幕收購的成長型公司。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。