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Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002178) 27% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

上海ヤンホアスマーテックグループ株式会社(SZSE:002178)の株価が27%上昇しており、収益と調和していません

Simply Wall St ·  01/23 06:56

Despite an already strong run, Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002178) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 33% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 6.3x, considering almost half the companies in China's Construction industry have P/S ratios below 1.4x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002178 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 22nd 2024

What Does Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 16% gain to the company's top line. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 2.7% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 27% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group's P/S?

Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group that we have uncovered.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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