Great Eagle Holdings' (HKG:41 Five-year Decrease in Earnings Delivers Investors With a 54% Loss
Great Eagle Holdings' (HKG:41 Five-year Decrease in Earnings Delivers Investors With a 54% Loss
Statistically speaking, long term investing is a profitable endeavour. But along the way some stocks are going to perform badly. Zooming in on an example, the Great Eagle Holdings Limited (HKG:41) share price dropped 68% in the last half decade. We certainly feel for shareholders who bought near the top. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 38% over the last twelve months. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 11% in the last three months. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 7.5% in the same timeframe.
從統計學上講,長期投資是一項有利可圖的舉措。但在此過程中,一些股票將表現不佳。舉一個例子,鷹君控股有限公司(HKG: 41)的股價在過去五年中下跌了68%。對於在接近頂部買入的股東,我們當然有同感。而且我們懷疑長期信徒是唯一擔心的持有者,因爲股價在過去十二個月中下跌了38%。最近跌勢加速,股價在過去三個月中下跌了11%。但是,有人可能會爭辯說,價格受到了大盤的影響,同期股價下跌了7.5%。
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
鑑於過去一週對股東來說很艱難,讓我們調查一下基本面,看看我們能學到什麼。
Check out our latest analysis for Great Eagle Holdings
查看我們對鷹君控股的最新分析
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者的情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的業務表現。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。
Great Eagle Holdings became profitable within the last five years. Most would consider that to be a good thing, so it's counter-intuitive to see the share price declining. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.
鷹君控股在過去五年中實現了盈利。大多數人會認爲這是一件好事,因此股價下跌是違反直覺的。其他指標可以更好地解釋股價走勢。
We note that the dividend has fallen in the last five years, so that may have contributed to the share price decline. The revenue decline of 1.8% per year wouldn't have helped. So it seems weak revenue and dividend trends may have influenced the share price.
我們注意到,在過去五年中,股息有所下降,因此這可能是股價下跌的原因。每年1.8%的收入下降無濟於事。因此,看來疲軟的收入和股息趨勢可能影響了股價。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下圖顯示了收入和收入隨時間推移的跟蹤情況(如果您點擊圖片,可以看到更多細節)。
This free interactive report on Great Eagle Holdings' balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
如果你想進一步調查Great Eagle Holdings的股票,這份關於Great Eagle Holdings資產負債表實力的免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Great Eagle Holdings, it has a TSR of -54% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。就鷹君控股而言,其在過去5年的股東總回報率爲-54%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 總 股東回報。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
While the broader market lost about 21% in the twelve months, Great Eagle Holdings shareholders did even worse, losing 34% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 9% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Great Eagle Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Great Eagle Holdings (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
儘管整個市場在十二個月中下跌了約21%,但Great Eagle Holdings股東的表現甚至更糟,損失了34%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。遺憾的是,去年的業績結束了糟糕的表現,股東在五年內每年面臨9%的總虧損。我們意識到羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該 “在街頭流血時買入”,但我們警告說,投資者應首先確保他們購買的是高質量的企業。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地了解鷹君控股,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,我們發現了鷹君控股的 4 個警告信號(1 個可能很嚴重!)在這裏投資之前,您應該注意這一點。
We will like Great Eagle Holdings better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我們看到一些大規模的內幕收購,我們會更喜歡Great Eagle Holdings。在我們等待的同時,請查看這份免費清單,列出了最近有大量內幕收購的成長型公司。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。