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Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Zhejiang FORE Intelligent Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:301368) Shares Dive 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 23 08:58

Zhejiang FORE Intelligent Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:301368) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 53% in the last year.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Zhejiang FORE Intelligent TechnologyLtd is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 9.8x, considering almost half the companies in China's Machinery industry have P/S ratios below 2.8x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Zhejiang FORE Intelligent TechnologyLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:301368 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 23rd 2024

How Zhejiang FORE Intelligent TechnologyLtd Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Zhejiang FORE Intelligent TechnologyLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zhejiang FORE Intelligent TechnologyLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Zhejiang FORE Intelligent TechnologyLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 22% decrease to the company's top line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 5.2% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 29% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Zhejiang FORE Intelligent TechnologyLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Zhejiang FORE Intelligent TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?

Even after such a strong price drop, Zhejiang FORE Intelligent TechnologyLtd's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Zhejiang FORE Intelligent TechnologyLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Zhejiang FORE Intelligent TechnologyLtd (of which 3 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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