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Optimism Around Deluxe Family (SHSE:600503) Delivering New Earnings Growth May Be Shrinking as Stock Declines 11% This Past Week

Optimism Around Deluxe Family (SHSE:600503) Delivering New Earnings Growth May Be Shrinking as Stock Declines 11% This Past Week

随着上周股价下跌11%,对实现新收益增长的豪华家族(SHSE: 600503)的乐观情绪可能会萎缩
Simply Wall St ·  01/22 20:06

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Deluxe Family Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600503) shareholders, since the share price is down 38% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 26%. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 18% in the last 90 days.

作为投资者,值得努力确保您的整体投资组合超过市场平均水平。但几乎可以肯定的是,有时候你会买入低于市场平均回报率的股票。不幸的是,豪华家庭有限公司(SHSE: 600503)的长期股东就是这种情况,因为股价在过去三年中下跌了38%,远低于26%左右的市场跌幅。股东们最近的表现更加艰难,股价在过去90天中下跌了18%。

After losing 11% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

在上周下跌了11%之后,值得研究该公司的基本面,看看我们可以从过去的表现中推断出什么。

View our latest analysis for Deluxe Family

查看我们对豪华家庭的最新分析

We don't think that Deluxe Family's modest trailing twelve month profit has the market's full attention at the moment. We think revenue is probably a better guide. As a general rule, we think this kind of company is more comparable to loss-making stocks, since the actual profit is so low. It would be hard to believe in a more profitable future without growing revenues.

我们认为,Deluxe Family过去十二个月的微薄利润目前并未引起市场的充分关注。我们认为收入可能是更好的指导。通常,我们认为这种公司更能与亏损股票相提并论,因为实际利润太低了。如果收入不增加,很难相信未来会有更有利可图的未来。

In the last three years Deluxe Family saw its revenue shrink by 98% per year. That's definitely a weaker result than most pre-profit companies report. On the face of it we'd posit the share price fall of 11% compound, over three years is well justified by the fundamental deterioration. It would probably be worth asking whether the company can fund itself to profitability. Of course, it is possible for businesses to bounce back from a revenue drop - but we'd want to see that before getting interested.

在过去的三年中,豪华家庭的收入每年减少98%。这绝对比大多数盈利前公司报告的结果要差。从表面上看,我们认为股价在三年内复合下跌11%,这完全是基本面恶化所证明的。可能值得一问的是,该公司能否为自己筹集资金以实现盈利。当然,企业有可能从收入下降中恢复过来——但我们希望在产生兴趣之前先看看这一点。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图片即可显示确切的数值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600503 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 23rd 2024
SHSE: 600503 收益和收入增长 2024 年 1 月 23 日

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以在这张免费的交互式图片中看到其资产负债表如何随着时间的推移而增强(或减弱)。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

The total return of 17% received by Deluxe Family shareholders over the last year isn't far from the market return of -18%. So last year was actually even worse than the last five years, which cost shareholders 5% per year. Weak performance over the long term usually destroys market confidence in a stock, but bargain hunters may want to take a closer look for signs of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Deluxe Family has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

去年,豪华家庭股东获得的总回报率为17%,与-18%的市场回报率相差不远。因此,去年的情况实际上比过去五年还要糟糕,后者每年使股东损失5%。长期表现疲软通常会破坏市场对股票的信心,但讨价还价者可能需要仔细观察转机的迹象。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,冒险吧——豪华家庭有 3 个警告标志(其中 1 个有点令人担忧),我们认为你应该知道。

But note: Deluxe Family may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但请注意:豪华家庭可能不是最值得购买的股票。因此,来看看这份过去盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司的免费清单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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