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Guangdong Zhongnan Iron and Steel (SZSE:000717 Shareholders Incur Further Losses as Stock Declines 9.6% This Week, Taking Five-year Losses to 47%

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 23 09:15

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Guangdong Zhongnan Iron and Steel Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000717), since the last five years saw the share price fall 54%. And it's not just long term holders hurting, because the stock is down 21% in the last year. Furthermore, it's down 19% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Zhongnan Iron and Steel

Given that Guangdong Zhongnan Iron and Steel didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

Over five years, Guangdong Zhongnan Iron and Steel grew its revenue at 11% per year. That's a pretty good rate for a long time period. The share price return isn't so respectable with an annual loss of 9% over the period. That suggests the market is disappointed with the current growth rate. That could lead to an opportunity if the company is going to become profitable sooner rather than later.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:000717 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 23rd 2024

Take a more thorough look at Guangdong Zhongnan Iron and Steel's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Guangdong Zhongnan Iron and Steel the TSR over the last 5 years was -47%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 18% in the twelve months, Guangdong Zhongnan Iron and Steel shareholders did even worse, losing 20% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 8% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Guangdong Zhongnan Iron and Steel better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Guangdong Zhongnan Iron and Steel is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

We will like Guangdong Zhongnan Iron and Steel better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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