When you see that almost half of the companies in the Auto Components industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.5x, Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002355) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 3.4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
See our latest analysis for Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group)
How Has Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group) Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group) over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group) will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group)?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group)'s to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 8.1%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 46% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group)'s P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group)'s P/S?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group) currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group) (including 1 which is potentially serious).
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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